south waziristan

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UPDATE:  Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani has backtracked on his earlier comments.  Click here for the story.

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Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani says the military operation targeting Taliban militants in the South Wazirstan tribal region is over.

Pahari Sahib, Wikimedia Commons

Pahari Sahib, Wikimedia Commons

Mr. Gilani told reporters that Pakistan’s military is now focusing on the Orakzai tribal region in an effort to chase the Pakistani Taliban leadership that is believed to have fled there from South Waziristan.  Once fully launched, the operation in Orakzai will be the third major offensive against the Pakistani Taliban this year.

Here is a breakdown of the situation:

Part 1 –  How has Pakistan’s offensive against the Taliban evolved in 2009?

Part 2 — How successful has the military been?

Part 3 — How have the militants responded?

Part 4 — How is the public responding to the offensive?

U.S. officials have commended the Pakistani government for launching the South Waziristan operation.  But as the Taliban insurgency in Afghanistan strengthens, Washington continues to urge Islamabad to expand its operations to take on the Afghan Taliban and al-Qaida agents believed to be based in Pakistan’s North Waziristan tribal region.

The former security chief of the tribal regions, retired Brigadier-General Mahmood Shah, tells me that the United States’ priorities are very different than Pakistan’s.  The United States wants Pakistan to focus on militants that are part of a global network of terrorists.  But Shah says Pakistan wants to focus on its immediate threat: militants it believes have launched a series of high-profile attacks across the country.  Since the beginning of October, these attacks have killed more than 500 people.

If you click the map above, you can see that North Waziristan is between South Waziristan and the Orakzai tribal regions.  I told Shah it appears the militants escaped from South Waziristan through its northern neighbor — where the United States wants Pakistan to focus its forces.

Shah says the militants Pakistan is targeting have always had a presence in Orakzai.  He says the military chose to attack the Pakistani Taliban’s base in South Waziristan before broadening its campaign.  He says that he believes his country will be in a better position to help the United States and its allies once it takes care of its domestic insurgency.

Click here for the story.

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Election officials in Afghanistan have a lot to consider about how to eliminate — or at the very least minimize — voter fraud in the country’s November 7th presidential runoff.

AndrewRT, Wikimedia Commons

AndrewRT, Wikimedia Commons

U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said in a television interview that the United Nations wants to replace more than half of the country’s 380 district election heads as one way to make the second round more credible.

But the U.N. spokesman in Afghanistan told me today that staffing is just one of the many things Afghan election officials have to consider in the coming weeks.

Click here for the story.

Meanwhile in Pakistan, authorities closed many schools a day after two suicide bombers attacked the International Islamic University in Islamabad, killing four people at a faculty building and a women’s cafeteria.

Separately, surveillance video footage from one of last week’s attacks in Lahore made its rounds on local media channels.  The attack was on the country’s Federal Investigation Agency, which is similar to the Federal Bureau of Investigation in the United States.

Also, Pakistani helicopter gunships attacked Taliban strongholds near the Afghan border on the fifth day of an offensive in the tribal region of South Waziristan.

Officials say troops are facing fierce resistance as they fight to gain control of Kotkai, the hometown of the leader of the Pakistani Taliban, Hakimullah Mehsud.

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Pakistan launched its much anticipated ground offensive today into South Waziristan, the Pakistani Taliban’s stronghold.

http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-10-17-voa9.cfm

http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-10-17-voa9.cfm

The army started moving in from three different areas — Razmak to the north, Jandola to the east and Shakai in the west — in an attempt to squeeze the militants.

Click here for the story.

The Pakistani military has put South Waziristan under siege for months with its forces concentrated in bases both in and around the tribal area.  It also has repeatedly launched air and artillery strikes on suspected militant positions there.

The tribal area bordering Afghanistan is a remote and mountainous region.  I spoke today with the head of the United Nations’ Office for Coordinating Humanitarian Affairs in Pakistan.  He said his office is working closely with Pakistani agencies to help civilians displaced by the violence get through the area’s harsh winter, which is just a few weeks away.

He said a major concern for those displaced is sanitation and adequate water, especially for those taking shelter in nearby Dera Ismail Khan.  He also said his office expects more than 200,000 to flee South Waziristan.

Check out my earlier blog post about the IDPs (internally displaced persons) in the area.

As I spoke to analysts about today’s events, I found that a few believed the United States was using its recent aid package to the country as leverage to get Pakistan to launch its offensive.

Check out my story from yesterday for background.

In any event, if this operation is successful, it wouldn’t surprise me if we hear Washington asking Islamabad about when they are going to tackle the Afghan Taliban in North Waziristan.  The Haqqani network based there is responsible for attacks against NATO forces in Afghanistan.

Check out my earlier blog post to read why Pakistan might not be so quick to engage them.

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